News > Agency

Google Economist Sees a More Measurable Future

Google is looking at how far the auction can expand across all media

June 2, 2008

-By Brian Morrissey


adweek/photos/stylus/28222-halvarian.jpg

Google chief economist Hal Varian

NEW YORK The fact that Google has a chief economist is unusual for a media or technology company. That it has over 100 statisticians crunching numbers is even more rare. But, as the search giant famously stated in the "founders letter" that accompanied its IPO filing in 2004, "Google is not a conventional company."

Hal Varian, Google's chief economist and author of a textbook still used at many universities worldwide, is tasked with perfecting the core of Google's money machine: its paid search auction.

Varian joined the company in 2002 after Google CEO Eric Schmidt asked him to look into something. "He said to me, 'Why don't you look into this auction thing. It might make us some money,'" Varian recalled.

The paid search auction, which was actually pioneered by Overture founder Bill Gross, has made Google plenty of money by matching consumers and advertisers in a more efficient manner. It has created a virtuous cycle for the company: the more advertisers Google gets into its system, the better it can target ads and the more money it can charge per click.

Now, following the acquisition of DoubleClick and forays into print and TV, Google is looking at how far the auction can expand across all media.

"The biggest problem in advertising has been the performance measures," said Varian. "In search engine advertising, you have the click and the conversion. It makes it much more easy. In brand advertising, the difficult part is the measures are much more diffuse. We hope to use math to bring more clarity to that."

What does that mean for the future of the agency business? Varian believes advertising will come to resemble the financial-services sector, which also went through a technology revolution more than two decades ago. While the relationship aspect remains, technology made it more efficient to match up supply and demand.

"Marketing is the new finance," Varian said. "Just as finance has become more quantitative because of what happened in the 1970s, you'll see marketing do that."

Agencies that embrace quantitative tools and ad platforms will thrive, he believes, but those that are only intermediaries in transactions will struggle. One area in which Google has no interest: creative.

"If you're adding a lot of value, those jobs are good," Varian said. "Computers are good at doing non-creative tasks."

The biggest opportunity for Google: TV advertising. All TV ad spending in 2007 (network, cable, spot and syndicated) totaled almost $77.5 billion, per Nielsen Monitor-Plus. Google sees TV as a market ripe for disruption, since ads are poorly targeted and difficult to measure.

"TV will come into the 21st century," Varian said. "It's going to be a lot easier to measure response and target than it is today."


Google Economist Sees a More Measurable Future

Google is looking at how far the auction can expand across all media

June 2, 2008

-By Brian Morrissey


adweek/photos/stylus/28222-halvarian.jpg

Google chief economist Hal Varian

NEW YORK The fact that Google has a chief economist is unusual for a media or technology company. That it has over 100 statisticians crunching numbers is even more rare. But, as the search giant famously stated in the "founders letter" that accompanied its IPO filing in 2004, "Google is not a conventional company."

Hal Varian, Google's chief economist and author of a textbook still used at many universities worldwide, is tasked with perfecting the core of Google's money machine: its paid search auction.

Varian joined the company in 2002 after Google CEO Eric Schmidt asked him to look into something. "He said to me, 'Why don't you look into this auction thing. It might make us some money,'" Varian recalled.

The paid search auction, which was actually pioneered by Overture founder Bill Gross, has made Google plenty of money by matching consumers and advertisers in a more efficient manner. It has created a virtuous cycle for the company: the more advertisers Google gets into its system, the better it can target ads and the more money it can charge per click.

Now, following the acquisition of DoubleClick and forays into print and TV, Google is looking at how far the auction can expand across all media.

"The biggest problem in advertising has been the performance measures," said Varian. "In search engine advertising, you have the click and the conversion. It makes it much more easy. In brand advertising, the difficult part is the measures are much more diffuse. We hope to use math to bring more clarity to that."

What does that mean for the future of the agency business? Varian believes advertising will come to resemble the financial-services sector, which also went through a technology revolution more than two decades ago. While the relationship aspect remains, technology made it more efficient to match up supply and demand.

"Marketing is the new finance," Varian said. "Just as finance has become more quantitative because of what happened in the 1970s, you'll see marketing do that."

Agencies that embrace quantitative tools and ad platforms will thrive, he believes, but those that are only intermediaries in transactions will struggle. One area in which Google has no interest: creative.

"If you're adding a lot of value, those jobs are good," Varian said. "Computers are good at doing non-creative tasks."

The biggest opportunity for Google: TV advertising. All TV ad spending in 2007 (network, cable, spot and syndicated) totaled almost $77.5 billion, per Nielsen Monitor-Plus. Google sees TV as a market ripe for disruption, since ads are poorly targeted and difficult to measure.

"TV will come into the 21st century," Varian said. "It's going to be a lot easier to measure response and target than it is today."
Post a Comment
Asterisk (*) is a required field.
* Author:
* Comment:
 

Other Agency News

x

Aegis Plans Layoffs at Carat

August 28, 2008

NEW YORK Aegis said it would take an "exceptional charge" of $15 million against earnings this year to accelerate the ongoing reorganization at struggling Carat USA. Layoffs are included in that figure. (Aegis CEO Robert Lerwill is shown.) Read Full Article



Our ProductsOur Products

ADWEEK'S NIGHTLY NEWS

Receive a comprehensive roundup of the biggest stories of the day.

BREAKING NEWS ALERTS

Sign up to be the first to hear about the biggest breaking news stories.

SUBSCRIBE

Stay connected to what's happening in the advertising industry with delivery of the print edition and complete online access.

More VideosVideo



From print to online advertising trends, advertising professionals can read all about the latest advertising news at Adweek. Keep on top of the latest happenings in the advertising world, from online video advertising to the latest funny TV commercials. Check out our community and advertiser forums to discover and network with other advertiser and marketing professionals. Adweek provides advertisers with daily TV news and weekly ad industry editorials on a complete array of subjects. Use our advertising agency directory to find a career opportunity or to research an ad agency to fit your companies advertising and marketing needs. Explore Adweek everyday, or sign up for our Adverting Newsletter to get the latest ad industry news on demand!

Adweek Advertising Home | Advertising Industry News | Creative TV Advertising | Advertising Industry Community | Video Advertising | Advertising Data Center | Advertising Special Reports | Advertising Careers | Advertising Products | Advertising About Us | Advertising Business Statements | Advertising Contact Us | Advertising Opportunities | Ad Licensing | Advertiser FAQ | Advertising Magazine Subscriptions | Advertising News RSS | Online Ad Site Map | Mobile

© 2008 Nielsen Business Media, Inc. All rights reserved. Terms of Use  |   Privacy Policy