More than ten million people stop buying music each year, Russ Crupnick told the Leadership Music Digital Summit last week, and two-thirds of non-digital buyers don’t have any interest in buying digital. They simply wanted good value in music and feel they weren't getting it. Crupnick knows what consumers want. He is VP, senior industry analyst at the NPD Group, a Long Island-based provider of retail and consumer market research. He first looked at the value-versus-price issue for a 2002 NARM conference presentation. In a conversation with Billboard, he talks about how the industry failed to hear consumers’ plea for more value and how artists and companies can tackle the problem now.
In your 2002 NARM presentation you were looking at price versus value, which was a big topic in your discussion today.
We knew the age of digital downloads was upon us even though it was a year before iTunes. We were deep in piracy, which wasn’t nearly as bad in 2002 as it became later. I think there was a general concern that the only way to save the CD is to drastically drop the price. (NPD) started out neutral and saw what the information said and we disagreed. The actual analogy I used was, “If you want something cheap, get a Yugo. If you want something valuable, get a Volkswagen Beetle.
People who were spending a lot of money on CDs at the time—$15, $16— as long as the CD was decent and had 3, 4, or 5 tracks they liked and was from an artist they had a reasonable amount of connection. The consumer was OK with those prices. What seemed to really irritate consumers was the, “I bought this thing and it has only one good track. What I heard on the radio is what I got on the CD. I’ve got 11 or 12 tracks of filler.” That irritated consumers.
If radio continues to be such a main method of discovery, people will look for that album with the song they know. Are consumers getting around this problem of buying albums with one good track? Of course, now they have an option not to buy entire albums.
I think two things happened. You had some consumers who said, “Fool me once, shame on you. Fool me twice, shame on me.” That’s one of the reasons a lot of consumers started saying, “I’m tired of things with one or two good tracks.”
On digital—let’s leave piracy aside—ou had a lot of other consumers that were saying, “If I just want that one track, now a year or two later I have options for getting it. Especially for artists I don’t yet trust, that I don’t have any affinity with, maybe I’ll want to do that.”
So if consumers can buy single tracks instead of albums, then the onus should be on record labels to put out albums with top to bottom better music, right?
I think better music is one of the things that got lost. You would hear somebody say, “We signed somebody who spent their whole life on one song. We signed them to a contract, we put them in the studio and we found out all they had was that one song and the other ten songs were sub-par.
Some of it is the responsibility of the music. But I think today there are people who are willing to spend more, whether that’s a digital album or CD or something else. I’m just not sure we’re optimizing that opportunity with them.
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