Predicting Fall TV’s Hits and Misses With Social Data

By Karen Fratti 

viralheatlogoLet the fall TV games begin. As networks start premiering new fall television shows, figuring out which shows will be the new hits on air and social media isn’t an exact science. Yet.

Viralheat, a platform for monitoring social media behavior for brands, thinks they’ve cracked the code. For the upcoming season, they’ve tracked six network shows that have been heavily promoted on social media to see how they stack up; which will be “Must See TV” and which warrant a channel change. Below is their baseline research in an infographic. Throughout the season they plan to monitor how engagement with the shows evolves, and to answer the following questions, according to  Viralheat’s spokesperson Tim Cox:

  • Does it make sense to acquire fans and build a huge fan base, or to cultivate a large following organically?
  •  How does a network’s social media promotions correlate with fan acquisition and engagement?
  • Can predictive social analytics help entertainment brands identify early and often the likelihood of commercial success/failure and how to allocate marketing dollars for their movies, shows and actors?


Based on their research, ABC’s “Black-ish,” “Manhattan Love Story,” and CBS’ “Scorpion” are social television’s losers, while the CW’s “Flash,” NBC’s “Constantine,” and FOX’s “Gotham” are worth tracking (and watching).

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