Whether it’s baseball stats or political polling results, Nate Silver has made a living sifting through scores of data and making predictions, most of which seem to come true (Silver gained considerable notoriety after correctly picking 49 out of 50 states in the 2008 presidential election). While writing his data-driven, election-focused FiveThirtyEight blog for The New York Times, Silver found the time to examine the phenomenon of modern-day prediction in his new book The Signal and the Noise, which is out Thursday (Sept.
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