Parody Pundit Carl Diggler Launches

"Compare him to FiveThirtyEight's Nate Silver, who hasn't even bothered to call many of the contests (which explains why his URL is 100 less than Carl's)."

Parody pundit Carl Diggler now has his own website in which to showcase his uncannily accurate polling predictions. The name of the site is SixThirtyEight, a send-up of Nate Silver‘s statistical analysis site FiveThirtyEight.

How accurate are the predictions of Cafe writers Felix Biederman and Virgil Texas, the men behind the man? Based on the “sweet, sweet, numbers,” displayed on the site, “Carl Diggler’s record of forecasting the 2016 election cycle is unmatched by any pundit in America. Compare him to FiveThirtyEight’s Nate Silver, who hasn’t even bothered to call many of the contests (which explains why his URL is 100 less than Carl’s).”

Diggler correctly called of 78 of of 88 races this cycle, a feat that started as an accident, according to Texas’ Diggler character analysis turned stat-analysis critique in The Washington Post Monday:

Carl exists to satirize all that is vacuous, elitist and ridiculous about the media class. From his sycophantic love of candidates in uniform to his hatred of Bernie Bros, from his reverence for “the discourse” to his constant threats of suing the people who troll him on Twitter, Carl is predicated on being myopic, vain and — frankly — wrong.

But something funny happened along the way. Biederman and I, who are neither statisticians nor political scientists, started making educated guesses for our parody about the results of the primaries. And we were right. A lot.

“Unlike professional forecasters, who maintain the pretense of objectivity, Diggler’s approach is proudly based on gut instinct and personal bias,” Texas goes on.

And this point is an important one. Yes, Diggler exists in opposition to objective analysis, but is also a reminder that the idea of objective analysis is an often-impossible ideal disguised as an attainable one. Diggler’s biases are not the only ones worth being aware of.