How the AP Sees Things

The AP always runs a bunch of test files before an election or primary, and often includes dummy outcomes. Here's the one they put out last week for the Republicans: Ohio @Text.normal:11,214 of 11,214 precincts - 100 percent @Text.normal:Mike Huckabee 991,279 - 51 percent John McCain 599,950 - 31 percent Mitt Romney 156,945 - 8 percent Ron Paul 137,316 - 7 percent Fred Thompson 58,926 - 3 percent @Text.normal:Rhode Island @Text.normal:179 of 179 precincts - 100 percent @Text.normal:x-Mike Huckabee 26,118 - 39 percent John McCain 25,739 - 38 percent Mitt Romney 6,851 - 10 percent Uncommitted 4,215 - 6 percent Ron Paul 2,790 - 4 percent Alan Keyes 1,369 - 2 percent Hugh Cort 668 - 1 percent @Text.normal:Texas @Text.normal:5,232 of 8,279 precincts - 63 percent @Text.normal:x-John McCain 329,336 - 25 percent Mike Huckabee 306,582 - 23 percent Ron Paul 185,569 - 14 percent Uncommitted 138,541 - 10 percent Mitt Romney 93,376 - 7 percent Rudy Giuliani 79,467 - 6 percent Fred Thompson 65,700 - 5 percent Duncan Hunter 53,529 - 4 percent Hoa Tran 39,915 - 3 percent Alan Keyes 26,689 - 2 percent Hugh Cort 13,683 - 1 percent @Text.normal:Vermont @Text.normal:260 of 260 precincts - 100 percent @Text.normal:x-Mike Huckabee 19,331 - 42 percent John McCain 18,410 - 40 percent Mitt Romney 3,682 - 8 percent Rudy Giuliani 2,762 - 6 percent Ron Paul 1,841 - 4 percent So Huckabee wins Ohio, Vermont and Rhode Island. Here're the Dems: Ohio @Text.normal:11,214 of 11,214 precincts - 100 percent @Text.normal:Barack Obama 1,027,089 - 53 percent Hillary Clinton 878,250 - 45 percent John Edwards 39,077 - 2 percent @Text.normal:Rhode Island @Text.normal:179 of 179 precincts - 100 percent @Text.normal:x-Hillary Clinton 34,141 - 50 percent Barack Obama 29,436 - 43 percent Uncommitted 2,800 - 4 percent John Edwards 1,373 - 2 percent @Text.normal:Texas @Text.normal:4,997 of 8,279 precincts - 60 percent @Text.normal:x-Hillary Clinton 653,559 - 47 percent Barack Obama 584,993 - 42 percent John Edwards 56,167 - 4 percent Bill Richardson 48,659 - 4 percent Chris Dodd 28,000 - 2 percent Joe Biden 14,209 - 1 percent @Text.normal:Vermont @Text.normal:260 of 260 precincts - 100 percent @Text.normal:x-Hillary Clinton 21,633 - 47 percent Barack Obama 19,330 - 42 percent John Edwards 4,603 - 10 percent Dennis Kucinich 460 - 1 percent So Barack wins Ohio but loses everything else. How weird would it be if the primaries shake out even close to this?

Fishbowl

How the AP Sees Things

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