Predicting Mobile Market Share in 2015? Probably Impossible IMHO

With all due respect to the, I’m sure, accomplished people at MarketsandMarkets, despite my own poor prognostication skills, I am almost sure that their 2015 predictions are wrong.

Report: Mobile App Market Will Be Worth $25 Billion By 2015 – Apple’s Share: 20% (TechCrunch)

I’m not disputing their projection techniques. I’m disputing the ability of anyone (including me) to accurately project what the incredibly dynamic mobile market will look like in 4 to 5 years. Imagine, for example, someone in 2005 or 2006 projecting what the mobile market would look like in 2010.

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